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 Predicted impediments following our independence 

 Analysis — Opinion
  The opinions expressed in this commentary are solely those of the author

 


Predicted impediments following our independence ‎ 9.8.2011 
By Baqi Barzani - ekurd.net

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August 9, 2011

Kurdistan is witnessing the nascent of a multiplying number of civil/rights organizations, unions; NGOs and, press syndicates. Every newly founded institution has been determined in its expression of support for establishment of an independent Kurdish state. They all agree on the legitimacy, necessity and maturity of time. Kurdish and global media outlets have more outspokenly been touching on the pertinent subject, as well.

Kurdish self-rule justification has turned into an internationally heated debate as characterized by some. In Turkey, Kurds declared democratic autonomy. In Iran, Kurdish renewed struggle has shaken the foundation of rickety regime to an extent that it has been goaded to resort to its military muscles to counter it. In Syria, Kurds have been so central that they uncaringly rebuff official invitations extended to them by the most senior government officials (President Bashar al-Assad) to participate in direct talks.

It is the public awakening and strong willpower that is powering the wheels of an inevitable impending revolt. It bodes the liberation of Kurdish nation in all parts, and resurgence of Kurdish nationalism. Our nation is heading in the direction of statehood, and all needed is an explosion in the form of a massive demonstration throughout Kurdistan that can spread the message and flames all over. All we require is a unifying character resembling to that of late General Mustafa Barzani or Gazi Mohammad to bear the burden of steering the nation to the ultimate goal.

Like most new nation states coming into existence, we will be having our own challenges to cope with, including the three major ones: governance, economic, and defense. Some of these challenges are calculable, some will come as a surprise and some will be designed by our opponents. Precipitate foreboding and proper planning is the best to ward off some of these obstacles from the very outset.

Marginalization and repression of ethno-religious minorities is a modus operandi for widening divide and possible civil conflicts. It is a very efficient tool/pretext for destabilization and foreign interventions. Such also is the case for Kirkuk city.

Though historically Kurdish, but sensibly weighing the status quo, Kirkuk has undergone a fractional de-population of its Kurdish masses. It has been forcefully pervaded by Sunni Arabs and especially, Turkish-backed Turkomen, unwilling to abandon their huge interests/assets in Kurdistan at any expense. Any future enticing course taken by KRG such as offering material compensation seems unlikely to reverse the demographic changes imposed in Kirkuk. Any coercive approach will most likely result in further exasperating the state of affairs, particularly impacting its security state.

The reclamation and incorporation of Kurdish Kirkuk into Kurdish Regional Government is key to our national survival. Nevertheless, Kirkuk is equally foreseen to remain the major bone of contention among diverse ethnic groups in a future independent Kurdish state for decades to come. It will be the picture of Jerusalem,
www.ekurd.netKashmir or Tibet. It has been the major reason behind the deferment of Kurdish state creation so far. Kirkuk will require lots of wars and resources to soothe.

For stepping up the implementation of a partition blueprint in Iraq, some kind of territorial concessions in Kirkuk must be offered on our part. We must be willing to compromise on a land division deal in Kirkuk (perhaps an 80-20%) with our Turkomen and Sunni Arabs partners. That way, the fate of Kurdish Kirkuk can be sealed once and forever, and any justification for any regional/foreign powers to meddle into our internal affairs be eliminated.

The sooner the Kirkuk impasse can be contended with, the better for Kurds and Kurdistan!

Baqi Barzani is a Kurdish citizen of Sought Kurdistan [Iraq]. He advocates the notion of " establishing an independent Kurdish state". He contributes to various Kurdish media outlets, especially ekurd.net. You may reach the author via email at: [email protected]

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  The opinions expressed in this commentary are solely those of the author

 
 

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