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 Within 25 years or less, Kurds may lose majority in Iraqi Kurdistan region

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Within 25 years or less, Kurds may lose majority in Iraqi Kurdistan region  16.8.2010  
By Abdul-Rahman Sidiq

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August 16, 2010

ERBIL-Hewlêr, Kurdistan region 'Iraq', — Due to the stability and security situation of Kurdistan as well as the Law of Investment the region has, hundreds of foreigners and Arabs from the south and middle of Iraq have come and are increasingly coming to Kurdistan as job seekers.

Most of them, particularly Iraqi Arabs, have preferred to stay and permanently live here.

It seems that there is a political reason behind this process. If there is, or not, we would have the same destiny of the Gulf countries to which many foreigners have migrated and become citizens of those countries.

According to the statistics provided by the Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf the populations of Gulf countries are expected to be as following in 25 years’ time:            

File photo
In the UAE: 80% are foreigners and 20% native.

In Qatar: 75% are foreigners and 25% native.

In Kuwait: 52% are foreigners and 48% are native.

In Bahrain: 33% are foreigners and 67% native.

In Saudi Arabia: 20% are foreigner and 80% native.

In Oman: 18% are foreigners and 82% native.


After 25 years or less, there will likely be a similar result in Kurdistan, and in turn the following problems:

1. Demographical dangers: decreasing the size of the native population of the Kurdistan Region

2. Political dangers: establishing Arabic political organizations changing the balance of voting in the elections in disfavor of the Kurds.

3. Social dangers, increasing the rate of crime, kidnapping and killing, as the size of population increases.

4. Cultural danger, disappearing traditional Kurdish customs.

5. Ethnical dangers, the emergence of other strong ethnic groups threatening the dominance of ethnic Kurds.

6. Health dangers, increasing prostitutions and dealings with drugs and then appearing some diseases such as HIV.

7. Political requirements by Arabs and other foreigners would lead to tensions.

Abdul-Rahman Sidiq is the director of Prd Center for strategic studies and research.
 
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