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 Kurdologist: Adding Kirkuk to Kurdistan will lead to war

 Opinion 
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Kurdologist: Adding Kirkuk to Kurdistan will lead to war  29.5.2010  
By Wladimir van Wilgenburg

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May 29, 2010

AMSTERDAM, Martin van Bruinessen is Professor of Islamic Studies at Utrecht University and the International Institute for the Study of Islam in the Modern World (ISIM), both in the Netherlands. He spoke about Kirkuk*, Turkmen, Turkey and Kurdish ambitions for the Dutch Kurdish student organization KSVN on Friday 21 March. The expert on Kurds say its better for the people of Kirkuk that the province becomes a separate region.

Martin van Bruinessen studied the Kurdish issue for more than 40 years and has written several books about Kurdistan. He masters both Kurdish, Persian and Turkish and contribute to the book ‘Kurdistan: In the Shadow of History’. The anthropologist expected that Kirkuk would explode, after reports issued by the International Crisis Group warning for a civil war, but so far there has been no major conflict. In his speech he emphasized the ambivalence of ethnic identities and that this can change. “A Kurd can become Turkish, and a Kurd can become Turkish.”
     

Martin van Bruinessen is Professor of Islamic Studies at Utrecht University and the International Institute for the Study of Islam in the Modern World (ISIM), both in the Netherlands
The experts also outlined the ethnic claims of both the Turkmen, Kurds, Assyrians and other groups on the territories of Iraq. Van Bruinessen who started to studying the Kurds in the 1970s, says the Kurds started to claim Kirkuk as their capital not a long time ago. He says the Kurds first discussed if the city of Sulaimaniyah or Erbil should become the capital of Kurdistan, later on Kirkuk in the 1970s became a part of the Kurdish demands, as a capital of Kurdistan in Iraq.

Article 140 No Good Idea

Although the Kurdish leadership wants the implementation of article 140 of the Iraqi constitution, that will decide if the province will belong to the Kurdistan region or part of Iraq, Van Bruinessen says this is not a good idea, since it could lead a to a civil war and ethnic cleansing. “If you say this place is Arabic or Kurdish, than you make a conflict inevitable.” The expert says that the Kurds could win a war with the Iraqi army, since their army is much stronger, but he thinks the people living in Kirkuk would be victim of such a conflict, and not the Kurds living in the Kurdistan region. “You would have a lot of losers.” Therefore he says Kirkuk should get a separate status. “Adding Kirkuk to Kurdistan is not a good idea, due to the mixed population.”

Changing Turkish Perceptions

Van Bruinessen also discussed the Kurdish opening of the AKP-government in Turkey, growing relations between Iraqi Kurdistan and Turkey and the position of the Turkish army on Kurds. “The Turkish army had its military units and intelligence units everywhere in (Iraq) Kurdistan to prevent to Kurds to get independence and used the Turkmen as a card to prevent Kurdish ambitions for autonomy.” But the expert notes that the Turkish position is gradually changing due to the economic interests of Turkey in Iraqi Kurdistan.

Most products are imported from Turkey in Iraqi Kurdistan and even the Turkish army is changing. Although the Turkish army supported the founding of Kurdistan TV of the Barzani family and operated a Kurdish radio station in Diyarbakir in Turkey when Kurdish was still forbidden,
www.ekurd.netit continue to see the Kurdish issue as a ‘terror problem’. But now the Turkish army sees it also needs a political issue. “I think most people in the army are not prepared to give the Kurds serious national rights, but I do see changes.”

The expert says there were also secret talks between the PKK and the Turkish government, but a part of the state, the army and the PKK doesn’t want to solve the Kurdish issue in Turkey. Still he is hopeful. “I think the goodwill of the Kurdish leaders in Northern Iraq and the Turkish government gives more hope for a future.” He says the new developments could lead to a solution, not an ideal one, but more hope. Van Bruinessen said that in the past he has never expected so much changes in Turkey. “I’ve never been so optimistic.”

AKP Wants to Solve Kurdish Issue

The Dutch social scientists therefore thinks the AKP wants to solve the Kurdish issue and give a amnesty to the PKK, but the Turkish population isn’t ready for that yet. “The Turks have a increasing nationalist and anti-Kurdish sentiment, you cannot change this in one day, you need time.” Therefore Van Bruinessen thinks the government sometimes takes some steps back and then some steps forward, like the marches of the old Ottoman soldiers.

He expects that the AKP eventually could give the Kurds more cultural rights and decentralize Turkey more. “I’m moderately positive about the developments, but in the recent months we have seen many steps back and massive arrests against persons that are close to the PKK, who have never used weapons.” He thinks the Iraqi Kurds can play a good role in solving the issue as mediators between the Turkish Kurds and the state, as well-positioned trading partners of Turkey.


* Kirkuk city is historically a Kurdish city and it lies just south border of the Kurdistan autonomous region, the population is a mix of majority Kurds and minority of Arabs, Christians and Turkmen, lies 250 km northeast of Baghdad. Kurds have a strong cultural and emotional attachment to Kirkuk,
www.ekurd.net which they call "the Kurdish Jerusalem." Kurds see it as the rightful and perfect capital of an autonomous Kurdistan state. Article 140 of the Iraqi constitution is related to the normalization of the situation in Kirkuk city and other disputed areas through having back its Kurdish inhabitants and repatriating the Arabs relocated in the city during the former regime’s time to their original provinces in central and southern Iraq.

The article also calls for conducting a census to be followed by a referendum to let the inhabitants decide whether they would like Kirkuk to be annexed to the autonomous Iraqi Kurdistan region or having it as an independent province. The former regime of Iraqi President Saddam Hussein had forced over 250,000 Kurdish residents to give up their homes to Arabs in the 1970s, to "Arabize" the city and the region's oil industry. The last ethnic-breakdown census in Iraq was conducted in 1957, well before Saddam began his program to move Arabs to Kirkuk. That count showed 178,000 Kurds, 48,000 Turkomen, 43,000 Arabs and 10,000 Assyrian-Chaldean Christians living in the city.

  
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