|
"It's a
great feeling to be free. It's a great feeling to
live in peace and not feel any threats from a tyrant
like Saddam. If this house is taken away from me, I
live in a tent. If the tent is taken away and I am
forced to live under a tree, I'll still be free."[2]
--A Kurdish refugee returning to Kirkuk
The Kurds, as a people divided between four states,
pose an intellectual and policy issue of great
importance for the future of the region and of these
specific countries. Of course, deciding "who is a
people" in the contemporary world is a political
question rather than a legal process, a subjective
self-identification, or historically based
assertion. In the international political system
only those who have attained, or were granted, state
sovereignty are regarded as peoples.
Enabling Kurdish women, men, and children to develop
better living standards and the ability to live in
freedom from want and fear alike would be a noble
and great responsibility for those who desire to
engage in facilitating a better future all of West
Asia. Compared with other peoples in the region, the
Kurds have not been on equal footing in these terms
since the creation of the modern states at the
beginning of the 1920s, with the sole exception of
the Kurds in Iraq since 1992.
The Kurds are regarded either as a "pariah
minority"[3] or seen not as victims, but rather as a
source of destabilization.[4] However, being
regarded as a "pariah minority" or "destabilizing
factor" is not an entirely irrelevant concept to
understanding how the Kurds have been dealt with
politically.
PAST STRATEGIES
When the empires of West Asia were replaced by
modern centralizing territorial states (often
misleadingly called nation-states) at the beginning
of the 1920s, the Kurds were left without a state of
their own. In the new framework, they became
minorities within new political inventions and
constructions dominated by ideologies of Turkish,
Persian and (two versions of) Arab nationalism.
The imposition of this new state system with its new
ideological drive for centralization,
homogenization, and control created entirely
different conditions for the stateless Kurds. This
was a dramatic shift from several hundred years of
imperial tradition in which Kurdish territory had no
distinct, mined, and militarily-guarded borders. The
Kurds, who, like most other groups in the vast
Ottoman and Persian empires, were subject to
"remote" and discontinuous imperial control, carried
out "cross-border" activities and thus could easily
manipulate and adjust to the loose imperial networks
for their own benefit and intermittingly enjoy a
relative degree of local autonomy.
The new state system led not only to the imposition
of varying administrative and security control
systems, but also to the introduction of new
political ideologies. The new state ideologies
envisaged their societies in radically different
ways. Demands of national minorities for
representation, power-sharing, or mere survival were
regarded as "illegitimate," backwardness, or just
behaving like fifth-column proxies for external
enemies.
The trajectories of the modern states in Turkey,
Iran, Iraq, and Syria are the basic frameworks
through which one can analyze and understand these
states' policies and strategies vis-à-vis their
Kurdish populations. Since the aim of this article
is to focus on future policy prospects in relation
to the Kurds, only a brief account of the state
strategies to deal with the Kurds will be presented.
Although various governments in Turkey, Iran, Iraq
and Syria have chosen different approaches in their
denial or partial recognition of the existence of
the Kurds as a people with legitimate political,
social and security demands, a persistent denial of
a greater Kurdistan and attempts to prevent an
eventual emergence of such an entity has been linked
to the national security of these states.
Consequently, the Kurds have been deprived of any
meaningful opportunity to discuss various
conceptions of Kurdistan, including possibly
peaceful arrangements.
Often, Kurdish demands were interpreted as a direct
challenge to the new state elite's authority,
legitimacy, or goal of "national" cohesion (which in
practice meant assimilation). The Kurds were viewed
as a major obstacle to the way the new elites
thought their societies ought to be, rather than
dealing with how they were in fact constituted. In
contrast, Kurdish political demands were for shared
power and resources between different political
groups and the idea that the societies do not need
to be homogenous but rather heterogeneous,
multi-ethnic and multi-religious. Given this clash,
they easily became targets of security, military,
and political campaigns in the name of "national"
security, territorial integrity, and state
sovereignty. Usually these kinds of internationally
recognizable justifications have functioned as
effective methods to ward off even mild
international criticism.
While the existence of a Kurdistan province is
officially acknowledged in Iran, it amounts only to
one-eighth of the Kurdish-inhabited area in that
country.[5] In Iraq, the 1958 provisional
constitution recognized the existence of the Kurdish
nationality alongside the Arabs, but the
establishment of a Kurdistan Autonomous Region in
1974 did not satisfy the expectations of the Kurds
and led to a wave of military confrontation between
the Ba'thist government of the time and the Kurds.
Until recently, denial of the existence of the Kurds
and the Kurdish language in the Turkish Republic was
a ritual repeated by politicians, military,
security, and civil bureaucracies, as well as media
and ordinary citizens.[6] In Syria, the Kurds are
still treated as "guests" without political, legal,
and social rights.
Military solutions have been an option to which
state elites in Turkey, Iran, Iraq and Syria have
devoted themselves and their countries' resources.
While Iraq's military offensives against the Kurds
are more known to the outside world, the Turkish
military, as one author put it, "Found control of
Kurdistan to be its prime function and reason
d'être. Only one out of 18 Turkish military
engagements during the years 1924-38 occurred
outside Kurdistan. After 1945, apart from the Korean
war (1950-52), and the invasion of Cyprus (1974),
the only Turkish army operations continued to be
against the Kurds."[7]
Generally speaking, the state elites in Turkey,
Iran, Iraq, and Syria have combined strategies of
elimination and management.[8] The methods exploited
by successive governments in dealing with the Kurds
included the denial of their existence, or that of
the Kurdish language, or their preponderance in
certain regions. Active tactics include such widely
varying policies as genocidal campaigns, mass
deportation and expulsion, political homogenization
and assimilation, coercive administrative and
security control systems, or even partial
recognition and shallow autonomy arrangements. The
result was massive internal displacement,
destruction of villages and small towns,
militarization of states and societies, repression
of political parties, and undermining of civil
society organizations, to name but a few long-term
consequences.
These states share important characteristic traits
of what political scientists call state failure, not
least because of the enduring character and the
direction of the violence against the Kurds.[9]
Failed states generally do not deliver positive
political goods to their peoples; they are often
tense, deeply conflicted, hard, and fierce in
dealing with alternative versions of reality, and
bitterly contested constructions. In order to avoid
questioning the legitimacy of their monolithic world
views, they embark on violent military expeditions
to avoid dialogue, revision of flawed political
orders, and profound reform programs.
Undoubtedly, violent methods dominated the ways in
which the state elites tried to solve political,
social and economic differences in their respective
parts of Kurdistan. But violence is not the only way
with which modern states have sought conflict
resolutions, and the states in West Asia are not
destined to pursue the same path. New circumstances,
elite reconsiderations of past strategies, as well
as international changes and incentives can and
should change past commitments. New opportunities
will require new decisions, strategies, and
commitments. Given several decades of past failures
and the emergence of new opportunities, one can
expect different and constructive policy options to
be pursued.
FUTURE PROSPECTS
Top
The political elites of Turkey, Iran, Iraq, and
Syria--though in fundamentally different ways--face
momentous decisions about the future of peoples they
control and ostensibly represent. If they opt to
distance themselves from the tyranny of the past,
they can actively influence, if not direct, the
forces of change that take social, political,
religious and regional diversities as a source of
strength to create better living standards, more
freedom, and social peace. There are at least two
great opportunities (in Turkey and Iraq) and two
future possibilities (in Iran and Syria) by which
the future of the Kurds will directly be determined.
Turkey: United in Diversity, at Home and as EU
Member?
"Turkey has already booked its place in Europe"
--Javier Solana[10]
"I have to turn to Europe to get justice. Europe
remains our only hope."
--Sehriban Yaradimlis[11]
"There is nothing permanent except change. Give
Turkey three years, and it will be a totally
different country. Whatever happens we are going to
change."
--Turkish Prime Minister Erdogan[12]
Compared to Iran, Iraq, and Syria, Turkey has
developed a wide range of democratic political
institutions and mechanisms as well as a
long-standing relationship with the European Union
and other Western democratic organizations that
together should make the country more amenable to
democratic dialogue and exchange of ideas. Turkey's
progress toward EU membership provides a unique
opportunity to carry out profound systemic reform.
This could include an advance beyond previous
monolithic beliefs in, and practice of,
homogenization and military solutions for the
Kurdish issue, not least because Article Two of the
first draft of the EU's constitution demands
specific values from member states, saying that the
EU is founded on the values of respect for human
dignity, liberty, democracy, equality, the rule of
law and respect for human rights. These values are
common to the Member States in a society of
pluralism, tolerance, justice, solidarity, and
non-discrimination.
This is strengthened by the first paragraph of
Article Three in which the aim of the EU is "to
promote peace, its values and the well-being of its
peoples."[13] Over time, the organization's members
have dramatically shifted their focus from state
security to the security of their populations and
peoples. They have gradually developed from what
political scientists label as electoral democracies
to liberal democracies, with constitutional
guarantees for human rights, women's rights and the
rights of minorities. Eastern European countries who
aspired to join the EU must live up to these
standards and values, which they must implement for
the benefit of all citizens and peoples.
In the negotiation process to qualify for
membership, Turkey needs to change its dominant
political thinking, the current constitution and
thousands of laws and regulations before it can be
described as a society characterized by pluralism,
tolerance, justice, solidarity, and
non-discrimination. The past cannot simply be wished
away. The future cannot be achieved by imprecise
changes. The ultimate test of willingness to direct
the state and society in Turkey toward a new future
will be determined by the government's capacity and
capability to implement essential reforms throughout
the country without prejudice and discrimination on
the basis of historical suspicion and
blaming-the-victim reasoning. Turkey has already
embarked on a major reform program and it can hardly
retreat from it.
Along the way, the country will need extensive
assistance, expertise, financial support, and
political encouragement. The EU has already
committed itself to this process and the required
financial needs. The current Turkish government has
promised, and occasionally taken, further steps in
the right direction. It has taken courageous steps
"in face of strong resistance"[14] from the military
and those elite groups whose positions and interests
are not served by a deepening and widening process
of democratization. For the root of the problem lies
in the fact that Turkey, despite the determination
of its government, cannot stand for the EU standards
under present circumstances. Because, as a recent
report from the European Parliament noticed, the
country has not yet established a clear framework
for guaranteeing political, civil, economic, social,
and cultural rights. In order to qualify for EU
accession negotiations, and eventual membership,
more far-reaching efforts are required from Turkey
"to enhance the coherence of legal provisions and
practice, which will underline the drastic and
fundamental character of the transformation of
Turkey towards membership."[15]
The point is that "reparation and amendments" will
not do the trick--despite significant changes
introduced as part of the packages of political
reform-- because Turkey has not managed to
circumvent its "Constitution adopted in 1982 during
the military regime, reflecting a largely
authoritarian philosophy."[16] Like the new members
of the EU, Turkey needs to adopt a new constitution,
signaling beyond doubt that such a step is a point
of departure for the process of reform and
modernization of the state and society.[17] This is
a necessary step in a series of far-reaching reforms
which can only be judged "on the basis of their
actual implementation in terms of day-to-day
practice at all levels of the judicial and security
system, and of both the civilian and military
administration… [which] must have the support of
society," a long process for which Turkey will need
both fundamental decisions and continued European
aid.[18] As Javier Solana so eloquently put it,
Turkey has already booked its place in Europe; the
reservation of that seat in December 1999 was
unanimously supported by the 15 EU heads of state
and government of the time. But in the process, it
is up to Turkey if the country "wishes to assume its
place in Europe"[19]
It is in this complex process of necessary
democratization that Turkey's Kurdish policies and
strategies must be re-defined and re-framed within a
new political system with appropriate institutional
arrangements. The Turkish problem with the Kurds
cannot be painted over or brushed away. Provided
that Turkey continues its development toward a
liberal democratic polity, almost every reform might
contribute to create a better ground for different
policies and strategies regarding the Kurds in
Turkey. In this process, official recognition of
diversity, differences and negotiations regarding
the ensuing tensions and conflicts should become the
basic political philosophy and process.[20]
Turkey has several options for creating a new policy
vis-à-vis the Kurds. One possibility is a
combination of democratization and decentralization
in which the unitary nature of the Turkish state
will remain its main characteristic. In this
context, an administrative decentralization
mechanism will devolve powers to administrative
units without recognizing group identities. Several
arguments might be used to support such an
arrangement: the centralist tradition of the Turkish
state (and its Ottoman predecessor), the French
Jacobin model, and the fear of breaking up Turkey.
But evidence of genuinely democratizing countries
that are linked to the EU mechanisms of regional
cooperation will undermine such reasoning. Spain and
Greece provide two good examples against traditional
resistance to reforms and democratization by
exploiting fear and shallow arguments.
A second arrangement might combine democratization
and decentralization with group recognition. Loyalty
to the state and its institutions would be based on
the notion of democratic citizenship in which shared
interests, values and necessity would not only keep
the state and its institutions together but
strengthen the ties and links for the benefit of all
groups in Turkey. References to historical
traditions of recognition in the Middle East and the
decentralized characteristics of the Ottoman past
can serve this purpose, as well as contemporary
European models, such as different arrangements in
the UK to meet demands from Scottish, Welsh, and
Irish national aspirations.
A third possibility for Turkey is to look closely
into the Spanish constitutional revolution of 1978.
Post-Franco Spain has become increasingly federal in
arrangement, except in name. Post-Franco politicians
have recognized the need to integrate democracy and
decentralization with recognition of historical
nationalities. The 1978 Spanish constitution has
created a decentralized, democratic political order
in Spain which political scientists characterize as
"a plurinational and multilingual state."[21] The
most interesting element of the Spanish development
is the recognition of the need to build
self-government into the fabric of the post-Franco
polity by recognizing the unity of the nation (or
more appropriately the state) as well as the right
to autonomy of nationalities and regions. The right
to self-government of municipalities, provinces, and
autonomous communities has in fact strengthened both
democracy and stability in Spain through a mechanism
and process of differentiation of the country's
previously unitary state structure.
Top
More than two decades of negotiations and agreements
have reinforced self-government and power sharing
with the regions, adopting federal arrangements.
Local and regional units' rights to make decisions
independent of central government supervision and
control have contributed to deepening constitutional
democracy in Spain.[22] The political redistribution
of power (between Madrid and 17 autonomous regions
(three historic autonomous regions, one specific
statute autonomous community, twelve ordinary
autonomous regions and one federal capital region)
has given the three historic nationalities in the
Basque country, Catalonia, and Galicia their own
statute of autonomy tailored to their particular
situation. In each case, the "central" government
and the autonomous regions have a range of exclusive
powers but also function jointly in several spheres.
A fourth model that could serve as a good example of
restructuring the political system is the
development in Belgium. Although this model might be
regarded as too radical a departure from the Turkish
unitary state tradition with its strong distaste for
multiple identities and loyalties and with no
tradition in negotiating the political order, it
should nevertheless be considered as a possibility.
The Belgium federation (since 1993) is based on
three territorially defined regions (the Flemish
Region, Brussels-Capital Region, and Walloon
[French] Region), and three non-territorial
language-based communities (the Flemish Community,
French Community, and German-speaking Community).
Distribution of exclusive powers is between the
federal government and two other kinds of
governments: while the three territorially
delineated governments are mainly responsible for
regional economic matters, the three non-territorial
communities are mainly responsible for linguistic
and cultural matters.
Turkey's Kurdish policy could adapt elements of the
British, Spanish, or Belgian systems into its own
restructured and reformed political system. Under
liberal democratic conditions this could be achieved
without overtly opting for federalization of the
country.
On its way to "a society of pluralism, tolerance,
justice, solidarity, and non-discrimination,"
Turkey, like other EU members, is required to
implement all reforms that would qualify the country
to a membership negotiation. If the reform process
accelerates as it did in most Eastern European
countries during the early 1990's, a prediction made
by French President Jacques Chirac's two days prior
to the largest enlargement ceremonies of May 1,
2004, need not come true. In Chirac's opinion
Turkey's entry into the EU was not possible in the
short term, however, he believed that Turkey could
become a member in the long term (which he defined
as a period of 10 to 15 years)--need not come
true.[23]
Only Turkish decision-makers have the capacity and
capability to disappoint President Chirac and those
who believe that Turkey cannot fulfill its
obligations. Erdogan observed that his country still
has much to do, but his government would "continue
to fulfill our responsibilities" to qualify for
membership. "We trust ourselves to pass this test
honorably," he said, while he warned that "it would
not only disappoint the Turkish people, it would
seriously damage the basic philosophy of the union,"
because the union is based on "humanitarian values."
Erdogan believed that to delay Turkey's membership
further would be "wrong and unjust."[24] Alas,
exactly the same arguments would be used by the
critics of Turkey for the delay in what the
Oostlander report calls revolutionary, but essential
reforms.[25] The sooner these reforms are carried
out, the better chance Turkey will have to cross the
threshold from electoral democracy to liberal
democracy.
In that case, for example, the Hakkari FM radio
station will not be closed again for 30 days because
a Kurdish politician expresses his desire to find a
democratic solution to the Kurdish problem in
Turkey. Kurdish parents do not need to wait for
court decisions before they give their children the
name they prefer.[26]
At that juncture, the European zone of stability and
prosperity will also peacefully be extended to
Turkey, the way it did to former Communist countries
in Eastern Europe. Having managed to shift mentally,
institutionally, and constitutionally from a
monolithic world view of assimilation,
homogenization, and violent military solutions for
the Kurdish issue, Turkey's membership in the EU
would no doubt transform the fate of the Kurds in
Turkey in a dramatically positive way.
Iraq: From mass killings and genocide to
federation?
Top
"I don't accept Iraq. I am not 'Iraqi Kurdish.' I am
only Kurdish, Kurdistani Kurdish. Throughout its
history Iraq has destroyed me, and I'm not crazy or…
masochistic enough to call myself 'Iraqi Kurdish.'
When Iraq respects me I will respect it. When Iraq
loves me I will love it. ...We are no better than
any other people, but no other people is better than
[my people]. I like to live in equality, not under
an Iraqi-Arab hegemony that doesn't respect our
culture, (and) that destroyed us culturally and
physically."
--Hiner Saleem, Kurdish film-maker.[27]
The genocidal regime of Saddam Hussein created
justifiable arguments for the entire reconstruction
of the state of Iraq. This complex process started
shortly after the Bush administration removed Saddam
Hussein's regime from power in April 2003. Whatever
one's opinion on the events and its consequences may
be, Iraq's different national, ethnic, and religious
groups have now initiated a constitutional and
institutional process to re-define, negotiate, and
re-shape the nature of the state, the division of
powers, and the country's collective identity. A new
Iraq would federalize on the basis of a legal text
called Transitional Administrative Law (TAL), signed
by Iraq's Governing Council on March 8, 2004. If
this "transitional constitution" is successfully
followed by a permanent constitution, it will lead
to the creation of the first case of a negotiated
state reconstruction in the region. What is crucial
in this context from a Kurdish perspective can be
summarized along the following lines.
With the removal of the Ba'thist regime in Iraq, a
political system based on several decades of
political brutality, genocide, mass killings,
systematic oppression, and repression has come to an
end. A new era of state reconstruction has started
with the signing of the TAL. Despite many
shortcomings and the non-democratic nature of the
processes that led to the signing of the document,
the TAL has created a new ground for political
negotiation in Iraq. It is the first time since
Iraq's creation as a modern state that
representatives of various groups, political
parties, and ideologies held meaningful negotiations
and managed to agree on a political structure that
corresponds to the reality of the country.
The idea of transforming Iraq from a centralized,
discriminating, genocide-prone, and Sunni
Arab-dominated state to a federalized system has
been one of the strongest Kurdish demands since 1992
and throughout the post-Saddam process. The mere
acceptance of this idea in a region with no
tradition of negotiation, especially in comparison
with the Arab states, is in itself path-breaking.
The TAL recognizes the existence of the Kurdistan
Region, despite the uncertainties regarding the
precise border and the final status of the region in
the permanent constitution. TAL also recognizes the
institutions and system the Kurds have developed
since 1992, such as the Kurdistan National Assembly
and Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG). The
articles that guarantee individual human rights,
including women's rights, are important achievements
in a country where mass graves, summary executions,
and disappearances were widespread practices to
which the Kurds were the prime victims throughout
most of Iraq's modern history.
The agreement that police and internal security in
Kurdistan will be within the competence of the
Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) is a crucial
achievement, both due to past central government
policies and the fact that the KRG's control of
police and security forces will provide assurance
for a civilian population that cannot trust any
Iraqi armed forces in the near future. The police
and security forces would also function as an early
warning system for internal border security
vis-à-vis Iran, Turkey, and Syria, because these
countries are ideologically tempted to undermine
institutional consolidations in Kurdistan. Another
positive element in the TAL is the decision to
confine any future army in Iraq only to external
security under strong civilian control.
One of the most controversial paragraphs of the TAL--from
the view point of Arab centralizers, non-democratic,
and anti-Kurdish neighbors, as well as anti-federal
forces in Iraq and the region--is the article in the
TAL regarding the ratification process of the final
constitution. This gives the Kurds, but also any
other people or region with a two-thirds majority in
three governorates, to reject a draft constitution.
The compromise to see Islam only as one source of
legal inspiration could save the Kurds from becoming
subjects of a new and feared form of domination,
this time by the Shi'a majority, using Islam as a
new tool in the political game. The minority rights
specified in the TAL would strengthen the democratic
experience in Kurdistan, because it will give it a
higher standard regarding minority rights and
protection. This provision also makes it possible to
demand protection for Kurds who live outside the
Kurdistan region, such as in Baghdad and other
areas. The language rights guaranteed by the TAL
will for the first time strengthen the Kurds in a
federal Iraq, both by making Kurdish a second
official language and providing for Kurdish to be
used extensively in the Kurdistan Region.
Despite all its shortcomings, the TAL has provided a
necessary condition for Iraq to develop a
plurinational, religiously tolerant, and democratic
federation. This desired and hopeful outcome can
hardly be achieved easily without meeting many
favorable and necessary conditions.
Though there are reasons to hope that the promises
made in the TAL mentioned above would strengthen a
voluntary federal Iraq, it will require addressing
the following issues:
--Whether the question of Kirkuk and other Arabized
areas can be solved in a peaceful way;
--Whether Kurdistan's taxing capacities can finance
expected welfare programs;
--Whether the electoral system would be based on
proportional representation in which the Kurds will
gain their share of posts and positions;
--Whether shared commerce power would be beneficial
for Kurdistan region;
--Whether a post on the presidential council or as
prime minister would be allocated to a Kurdish
representative;
--Whether the transitional government and parliament
manage to set up appropriate mechanisms and
processes for constitutional negotiations, new
elections for the National Assembly, and appointment
of a new government during 2005.
In addition, the TAL warrants several reservations.
Conflicts regarding natural resources might arise in
the future because of unclear language in the TAL.
The question of the second chamber (for regional
representation), necessary to create a meaningful
federal system, is not mentioned at all. The
situation has to be solved in ways accepted by the
main constituent peoples of the country. This might
lead to deadlocks during the negotiations for a
permanent constitution. The question of Kurdish
representation in the presidential council and the
council of ministries, including the position of the
prime minister, might lead to tension between the
Kurds and other groups in a future government if no
clear mechanisms are found in time.
The KRG might also face conflicting interpretations
on the question of its authority over border
controls. The final status of Kirkuk might turn out
to be much more problematic and difficult to solve
than anticipated, particularly if outside powers
manage to manipulate different groups either to
serve outside interests or by undermining ongoing
negotiations at sensitive junctures. Claiming to
have the right to act as they wish because they hold
a majority might turn out to be a strong card in the
hands of various Shi'a politicians, who might be
less popular than they imagined. At specific times
this "majority game" might be used to undermine
liberal rights and guarantees, thereby creating
confusion in relation to the role of Islam in
politics and inviting outside powers in order to
alter delicate internal power balances. Other
questions might also arise due to unclear
arrangements regarding power-sharing in the federal
government.[28]
The elections on January 30, 2005, gave the
transformation process in Iraq a new momentum. The
turnout in Kurdistan was far better than the rest of
Iraq--almost 85 percent. The Kurdistan Alliance
List[29] gained 75 seats in Iraq's Transitional
Assembly (26 percent of the total seats).[30]
Equally important is the fact that the Kurdistan
National Democratic List[31] gained 104 out of 111
seats in the Kurdistan National Assembly. (See
tables below.)
Table 1: Vote and seat allocations in Iraq
Transitional Assembly
Top
|
Name of party (or
coalition) |
Votes |
Seats |
| Unified
Iraq Coalition |
4,075,295 |
140 |
|
Kurdistan Alliance List |
2,175,551 |
75 |
| Iraqi
List |
1,168,943 |
40 |
| The
Iraqis |
150,680 |
5 |
| Iraqi
Turkmen Front |
93,480 |
3 |
Islamic
Action Organization in
Iraq/ Central Command |
43,205 |
2 |
| Islamic
Group of Kurdistan/Iraq |
60,592 |
2 |
|
People's Union |
69,920 |
2 |
| al-Rafidayn
National List |
36,255 |
1 |
|
National Democratic Alliance |
36,795 |
1 |
|
Reconciliation and Liberation Bloc |
30,796 |
1 |
Table
2: Vote and seat allocations in Kurdistan National
Assembly
|
Name of party (or
coalition) |
Votes |
Seats |
|
Kurdistan National Democratic List |
1,570,663 |
104 |
|
Kurdistan Toilers Party |
20,585 |
1 |
| Islamic
Group of Kurdistan/Iraq |
85,237 |
6 |
Table
3: Vote and seat allocations in Kirkuk Governorate
|
Name of party (or
coalition) |
Votes |
Seats |
| Kirkuk
Brotherhood List (pro-Kurdish list)
|
237,303 |
26 |
| Iraqi
Turkmen Front |
73,791 |
8 |
| Iraqi
Republican Gathering |
43,635 |
5 |
| Islamic
and Turkmen Coalition |
12,678 |
1 |
| Iraqi
Democratic Gathering |
12,329 |
1 |
Source:
Independent Electoral Commission of Iraq,
2005.02.17, "Seat Allocation," at http://www.ieciraq.org/English/Frameset_english.htm
There is no doubt that 2005 will be a turning point
in the history of Kurds in Iraq, with repercussions
on Kurds in other countries as well. As Masoud
Barzani has repeatedly asserted, Kurdistan's demands
will be the basis of their support to the
transitional federal government in Iraq: The
permanent constitution of Iraq must include current
TAL (including implementation of paragraph 58
concerning the final status of Kirkuk and other
disputed areas), the status of Peshmerge (Kurdish
military forces), fiscal policy, federalism, and the
identity of the Iraqi state (that is to say a
democratic, constitutional multinational, or
plurinational, political system). Or, as he told a
reporter, "The fact remains that we are two
different nationalities in Iraq--we are Kurds and
Arabs. If the Kurdish people agree to stay in the
framework of Iraq in one form or another as a
federation, then other people should be grateful to
them."[32]
To be sure, this is only the first crucial step in a
long and complex process of state reconstruction for
which international support and aid will be vital.
Whatever debates continue about the war, no one
should doubt that the peoples of Iraq have been
freed from a regime of mass destruction.
Iran: "systematic discrimination against the Kurds
is slowly changing"[33]
In the past few decades, the situation of the Kurds
in Iran has been very little known to the outside
world due to the dramatic shifts in Iranian
politics, the tensions between Iran and the West,
and a self-imposed Iranian isolation until 1997
(when Khatami became president).
The major shift in the status of the Kurds in Iran
was connected to the imposition of Shi'a Islam as
the ideological political system. The domination of
the political system by Shi'a Persians transformed
the Kurds into a minority in two senses, both
national and religious. Since 1997, hopes and
expectations have been linked to the reformists
around Khatami who might facilitate conditions to
achieve some fundamental changes in the Iranian
political system. In this process, the Kurds might
seize the opportunity to improve their conditions
and thereby share some of the fruits of a reformed
political system.
Many Kurds were prepared to engage in the reform
process. During the past few years, the Kurds of
Iran have been given some administrative
responsibility, a limited degree of cultural and
language freedom, as well as some favorable
conditions regarding publication of newspapers,
journals, and transmission of radio and television
broadcasts. But these remain within the framework of
what the authorities permit and understand to be
within the boundaries of Islamic politics drawn by
the dominant Shi'a Persian elite. Until the
parliament elections in February 2004, a Kurdish
bloc of legislators in the Iranian Majlis
(Parliament) were able to express some Kurdish
concerns, but that has not changed the overall
political orientation of Persian policies of
domination vis-à-vis the Kurds.[34]
In the near future, focusing on human rights,
national minority rights, strengthening the rule of
law, and demilitarizing Kurdish provinces would be
the most important elements in bringing pressure on
the Iranian government to improve the situation of
the Kurds in Iran. The EU's strategy could include
political dialogue with moderate Kurdish political
parties, as well as regional and provincial aid from
which the Kurdish regions can gain directly. The
governor of Kurdistan, Abdollah Ramazanzadeh, was
positive about Kurdistan's potential because he
believed that Iran's systematic discrimination
against the Kurds was slowly changing. He believed
that "in ten years or so, Kurdistan will be not only
a happy province, but also a prosperous one."[35]
Even though the region he referred to is a limited
part of what is traditionally known as Kurdistan in
Iran, the process of decentralization and devolution
would no doubt benefit the Kurds, in the same way as
Iran's attempt to ease its tensions with the EU,
United States, and the UN through different
security, trade, and economic mechanisms, processes,
and institutional arrangements.
At one level, Iran's social, cultural, and
linguistic diversities have not been denied
publicly. The idea of having a university called
Kurdistan, as the university is called in Sanandaj,
is still a political heresy in Turkey and Syria.
European organizations, parliaments, political
parties, and institutions, could assist Kurdish
schools, scientific and cultural projects to improve
the daily life of ordinary people, either through
direct relations with specific groups who run
projects or joint programs covering several regions
or areas. For the time being, there are no signs of
major improvements of the political system that
could lead to any rearrangement in which
power-sharing and meaningful representation of
peoples of Iran would be the hallmark of the
country's political system. However, small steps to
improve daily life of Kurds and other minorities in
Iran are possible.
Syria: Pressing for Substantial Reforms
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The small size of the Kurdish minority, the
decades-long domination of the Alawi minority
government, the consolidation of the new president's
power, and Syria's involvement in the EU-Mediterranean
Partnership should together provide a good
opportunity to demand more substantial reforms in
Syria. The Kurds alone are not, and have never been,
in a position to press for radical changes of the
entire political system. However, the Alawi minority
government cannot hope to control the country's
population for much longer without fulfilling reform
expectations accelerated by official periodic
rhetoric, the removal of Saddam's regime from power
in Iraq, and several other factors.
The EU, within the parameters of the EU-Mediterranean
Partnership, is well-equipped to link trade
relations and sector-directed aid programs to
improvements of the human rights situation of the
Kurds. EU institutions and governments can press
Syrian government and authorities to abolish the
military laws and the state of emergency (in place
since March 1963), to stop the Arabization of the
Kurds and their region, and change the status of the
nearly quarter of a million stateless Kurds who have
been deprived of citizenship. Demands can also be
made to abolish many regulations prohibiting the
Kurds from owning land, legal marriages, education
in Kurdish, and benefiting from public
healthcare.[36]
The EU can also demand the establishment of
independent and impartial judicial enquiries into
clashes and reported human rights violations, such
as the ones in mid-March 2004 when Kurds in Syria
celebrated the signing of the TAL in Iraq. Equally
important is the demand by the EU, UN, and
international human rights organizations to be
allowed to investigate directly reports of human
rights violations.
NOTES
[1]. J. Quilty, "Laughing into the Void, Making the
Machine Speak Kurdish," Daily Star, October 21,
2004.
[2]. G. Lane, "Dawn of a New Day: Kurdish Pleased
with the New Iraq," The Christian Broadcasting
Network, October 25, 2004.
[3]. M. Rubin, "Are Kurds a Pariah Minority?" Social
Research, Vol. 70, No. 1 (2003), pp. 295-331.
[4]. UGI, "The Kurds: Caught between Nations,"1994.
http://www.global-issues.co.uk/titles.php.
[5]. Rubin, "Are Kurds a Pariah Minority?" pp.
295-331.
[6]. In a conversation with a Turkish woman in
Istanbul, I asked her what her name, Turkan, meant.
Proudly she explained that it meant "a Turkish
woman." When I explained that a friend of mine was
denied entry to Turkey with a European passport
because his name was Kurdo, which means a "Kurdish
boy," she said that she was shocked by my
comparison, because "there were no people with that
name."
[7]. D. McDowall, A Modern History of the Kurds
(London: I.B. Tauris, 2000); and Editorial "Mideast
Climate Change," New York Times, March 1, 2005.
[8]. For a general discussion on state strategies
see B. O'Leary, J. McGarry, et al. (eds.), The
Future of Kurdistan in Iraq (Philadelphia:
University of Pennsylvania Press, May, 2005).
[9]. For a comprehensive discussion and
documentation on state failure, see Goldstone, J.
A., T. R. Gurr, et al, State Failure Task Force
Report: Phase III Findings, at State Failure Task
Force, 2000. http://www.cidcm.umd.edu/inscr/stfail/.
[10]. J. Solana, "Europe's Path for Turkey,"
International Herald Tribune, December 7, 2002.
[11]. S. Fraser, "Despite Progress, Turkey Still
Hasn't Stamped Out Torture and Police Brutality,"
Associated Press, October 27, 2004.
[12]. H. Smith, "Knocking at the Door of Europe,"
The Guardian, October 26, 2004.
[13]. European Convention, Draft Treaty Establishing
a Constitution for Europe, Adopted by consensus by
the European Convention on June 13 and July 10,
2003. Submitted to the President of the European
Council in Rome, July 18, 2003.
[14]. A.M. Oostlander, Report on the 2003 Regular
Report of the Commission on Turkey's Progress
towards Accession. European Parliament: FINAL
A5-0204/2004, March 19, 2004.
[15]. Ibid.
[16]. Ibid.
[17]. Ibid., p. 6.
[18]. Ibid., p. 6.
[19]. J. Solana, "Europe's Path for Turkey."
[20]. A. T. Baumeister, Liberalism and the 'Politics
of Differences' (Edinburgh: Edinburgh University
Press, 2000).
[21]. R. Agranoff and J.A.R. Gallarin, "Toward
Federal Democracy in Spain: An Examination of
Intergovernmental Relations," Publius, Vol. 27, No.
4 (1997), pp. 1-38.
[22]. G.O. Encarnacion, "Spain after Franco: Lesson
in Democratization," World Policy Journal, Vol. 18,
No. 4 (2001/2002), pp. 35-44.
[23]. E. Georges-Picot, "Chirac: Turkey Not Fit for
Entry into EU," Associated Press, 2004.
[24].V. Boland, "EU ‘Must Accept Turkey' without
Delay," Financial Times, 2004.
[25]. Oostlander, Report on the 2003 Regular Report
of the Commission on Turkey's Progress towards
Accession.
[26]. Ibid.
[27]. J. Quilty, "Laughing into the Void, Making the
Machine Speak Kurdish."
[28]. For a fuller account see O'Leary, The Future
of Kurdistan in Iraq.
[29]. Comprising the most important parties and
organizations in Kurdistan: Kurdistan Democratic
Party, Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, Kurdistan
Islamic Union, Kurdistan Communist Party, Kurdistan
Democratic Socialist Party, Democratic Bayt al-Nahrain
Party, Assyrian National Party, Chaldean Democratic
Union, Kurdistan Toilers Party, Kurdistan National
Democratic Union and other smaller parties,
including at least one Turkmen group.
[30]. In fact, Kurdistan will have 27 percent of the
votes in the Transitional Assembly after the
decision by the leadership of the Islamic Group of
Kurdistan to add their voice (two seats) to the
Kurdistan Alliance List in any future negotiation
over the status of Kurdistan and the demands of that
coalition.
[31]. Kurdistan Democratic Party, Patriotic Union of
Kurdistan, Kurdistan Islamic Union, Kurdistan
Communist Party, Kurdistan Democratic Socialist
Party, Assyrian National Party, Chaldean Democratic
Union, and Kurdistan National Democratic Union.
[32]. See, for example, Peyamner.com, March 3, 2005
and Edward Wong, "Iraqi Kurds Detail Demands for a
Degree of Autonomy," New York Times, February 18,
2005.
[33]. "Iran's Kurds: The Lucky Ones?" The Economist,
Vol. 357, No. 8202 (2000), pp. 56-57.
[34]. A. Blua, "Iraq: In Turkey, Iran and Syria,
Kurdish Minorities Watching with Interest," Radio
Free Europe/Radio Liberty, 2003. http://www.rferl.org/features/2002/10/23102002154346.asp.
[35]. "Iran's Kurds: The Lucky Ones?," pp. 56-7.
[36]. M. Rubin, "Are Kurds a Pariah Minority?" pp.
295-331.
Khaled Salih is a senior lecturer at the University
of Southern Denmark, and political advisor to
Kurdistan Regional Government since mid-2003. This
article was originally given as a paper at the
Conference "The Kurds: One People--Four States--What
Kind of Future?" held in Copenhagen, May 26, 2004,
organized by DKR (Danish-Kurdish Council for Human
Rights).
Articles published here do not necessarily reflect
views of Kurdistan Regional Government.
www.krg.org
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